E68: Once I Show Early Retirees This, Healthcare Becomes Easy

“I can’t retire early because of healthcare.” This fear echoes through every conversation with CRNAs in their late 50s and early 60s. You’ve saved enough money. You’re burned out. These are your good health years. But one question keeps you working: what if healthcare costs force me to regret retiring early?

On the flip side, some CRNAs work until 65 just to get Medicare, reach their 70s or 80s with millions saved, and wonder why they didn’t retire earlier while they still had energy. Neither outcome has to be yours.

The One Number That Controls Everything

Your Affordable Care Act healthcare premiums are based on your income, not your savings. The ACA doesn’t care how big your 401(k) is, how much you have in Roth accounts, or even how much you spend. It only cares about MAGI (Modified Adjusted Gross Income), the income the IRS sees on your tax return.

Two people could each spend $100,000 per year. One reports $100,000 in MAGI and gets zero help with healthcare premiums. The other reports $40,000 in MAGI and receives thousands in subsidies. Same lifestyle, drastically different healthcare costs.

You can have $2 million saved and still qualify for healthcare subsidies if your income is structured correctly. You can have $200,000 saved and not qualify if it’s all in the wrong type of account.

What Counts as Income and What Doesn’t

Not every dollar you spend creates a dollar of income. Some withdrawals count toward MAGI, others don’t.

Counts Toward MAGI: Traditional IRA and 401(k) withdrawals, wages, taxable interest and dividends, capital gains, and taxable Social Security benefits.

Does Not Count Toward MAGI: Roth IRA withdrawals, cash savings you already paid taxes on, and brokerage principal withdrawals.

If you want to spend $120,000 a year, your MAGI might be only $40,000 if you blend these sources correctly.

Case Study: Same Lifestyle, Different Premiums

Dana and Miguel are 60 years old with $1.2 million saved: $650,000 in traditional accounts, $250,000 in Roth, and $300,000 in brokerage and cash. They want to spend $110,000 per year.

Most people would pull $110,000 from the IRA. This makes their MAGI $110,000, blowing past subsidy limits and forcing them to pay full price for healthcare, around $24,000 per year. Over five years before Medicare, that’s more than $100,000.

Instead, they blend withdrawals: $35,000 from pre-tax (counts toward MAGI), $25,000 from Roth (doesn’t count), $40,000 from brokerage and cash (doesn’t count), and $10,000 in capital gains (counts). Their MAGI drops to $45,000.

They live on six figures but look like a modest-income household on paper. In many states, they might qualify for premium tax credits worth over $1,000 per month. Bronze coverage may be free. Silver and gold coverage remain affordable.

This saves $15,000 to $20,000 per year. Over five years, that’s $75,000 to $100,000 staying in their pocket just because they understood MAGI.

The Hidden Problem: Qualified Rich, Cash Poor

Many CRNAs max out their 401(k) for 20 years and do a great job saving. But by age 60, they have $1.5 million in pre-tax accounts, $60,000 in Roth, and $50,000 in cash.

On paper, this looks amazing. In practice, they have very limited flexibility. Every withdrawal creates taxable income. Their MAGI stays high no matter what. Healthcare subsidies are out of reach, and large Required Minimum Distributions will hit them later.

Compare that to someone with $1 million in pre-tax, $200,000 in Roth, and $300,000 in brokerage. Same total dollars, totally different options. They can pull from Roth and brokerage to keep MAGI low. This is why tax diversification is one of the biggest gifts you can give your future self.

Your Three Big Levers in the Retirement Gap

The retirement gap starts when you stop working and ends when Social Security and RMDs begin. During that time, you control your income entirely and can engineer years of low MAGI.

You can keep MAGI low to maximize healthcare subsidies, perform Roth conversions to pay less tax later and reduce future RMDs, or harvest capital gains at very low tax rates. You design the strategy based on your goals.

A Simple Framework

  1. List Your Current Buckets: Pre-tax accounts, Roth accounts, taxable brokerage, cash, and HSAs. If 90% to 100% of your assets are in pre-tax accounts, you’re in the qualified rich, cash poor danger zone. Consider directing additional savings into brokerage rather than maxing pre-tax every year.
  2. Estimate Your MAGI: If you retired next year, where would the money come from? Which sources count toward MAGI and which don’t?
  3. Model a Worst-Case Scenario: Pick a conservative number for pre-Medicare healthcare, like $15,000 per person per year. With your current savings, retirement age, and desired lifestyle, ask yourself: even if I never optimize healthcare subsidies, am I still okay? If yes, healthcare isn’t the monster your brain has made it out to be. If no, you can work one to three more targeted years, increase savings into brokerage, or reduce some planned spending.
  4. Know Your Subsidy Range: What MAGI range keeps you eligible for ACA subsidies? What do premiums look like just below that line? Rough numbers are enough.
  5. Adjust Your Saving Strategy: How much of your annual spending can you fund from brokerage principal, Roth accounts, or cash savings? Even shifting $20,000 to $30,000 of withdrawals from pre-tax to Roth or brokerage can make the difference between heavy subsidies and none at all.
  6. Be Mindful of Social Security: Once you turn Social Security on, your income flexibility decreases forever.

Prioritize Your Health Without the Financial Stress

When it comes to healthcare and your finances, you may be overestimating the cost and underestimating the control you have.

Once you’re comfortable with how MAGI works and how to blend your withdrawals, healthcare planning becomes a simple one line item in a well-designed plan, not the reason to stay in a job that’s burning you out.

List your buckets, estimate your MAGI, and model the worst case. You may discover you’re closer to early retirement than you ever imagined.

Ready to see how Oak Capital Advisors can help make retirement reachable? Schedule a meeting.

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